China views psychological warfare, centered on the manipulation of data to affect adversary decisionmaking and conduct, as one among a number of key elements of contemporary warfare. The U.S. army’s elevated concentrate on China and preparations for a possible U.S.-China battle imply that you will need to perceive how Chinese language psychological warfare capabilities could evolve and what they might imply for Chinese language strategic conduct in a disaster or battle. The writer explores Chinese language army fascinated by next-generation psychological warfare. China is eager about each superior computing, similar to huge information, and mind science for his or her potential army functions to enhance future psychological warfare capabilities.
Leveraging a big selection of Chinese language-language primary-source supplies, the writer gives an summary of Chinese language considering on psychological warfare, key capabilities, and associated operational ideas that the Chinese language army is pursuing and presents a hypothetical case examine for example how these capabilities, if realized, could also be utilized to a future U.S.-China contingency. One high-risk future state of affairs is that if the Chinese language army and broader management believes that these rising applied sciences allow Beijing to foretell or in any other case affect adversary decisionmaking. This might lead Beijing to have misplaced confidence in its capability to discourage adversaries from preventing or coerce them to not struggle in any respect.
This analysis was sponsored by Workplace of Web Evaluation within the Workplace of the Secretary of Protection and performed inside the Worldwide Safety and Protection Coverage Program of the RAND Nationwide Safety Analysis Division (NSRD).
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