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Bank of Canada rate hike housing market impact: More mortgage pain

by The Novum Times
12 July 2023
in Canada
Reading Time: 7 mins read
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Real Estate News Mortgages Economy

People with variable rate mortgages to be hit hardest, experts say

Published Jul 12, 2023  •  Last updated 9 hours ago  •  2 minute read

A Canadian flag in front of homes in a Toronto neighbourhood. The Bank of Canada's latest rate hike will inflict more pain on homeowners.
A Canadian flag in front of homes in a Toronto neighbourhood. The Bank of Canada’s latest rate hike will inflict more pain on homeowners. Photo by Cole Burston/Bloomberg

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Homeowners, particularly those with variable rate mortgages, are in for another dose of financial pain after the Bank of Canada raised interest rates for the third time this year, bringing its benchmark rate to five per cent.

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“Every $100,000 in mortgage balance will see an increase of approximately $14 per month due to the 0.25 per cent hike,” Alex Leduc, chief executive of mortgage website MyPerch.io, said of those with adjustable-rate mortgages.

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While this may not seem like a substantial amount, it comes amid high inflation and after a series of interest rate hikes over the past 18 months have already taken a bite out of household budgets.

The impact on homeowners with variable mortgages is expected to be even bigger, Leduc explained — especially for those whose mortgages are up for renewal.

“As borrowers hit their trigger rate, their amortization will reset upon renewal, leading to higher monthly payments,” Leduc said. “For instance, an average borrower with a $500,000 mortgage can expect an increase of $1,000 to $1,150 in their monthly payments. For every $100,000 in mortgage balance, we estimate that payments will increase by $225 per month, assuming a two per cent original mortgage rate.”

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James Laird, co-CEO of Ratehub.ca and president of CanWise mortgage lender, recommends that homeowners should carefully evaluate their financial situation and assess the rate hike’s impact on their monthly budget.

“Anyone who currently has a fixed-rate mortgage should budget for current market rates at their next renewal date,” said in an email. “Households should plan ahead to determine where the money is going to come from to make higher mortgage payments.”

Households should plan ahead to determine where the money is going to come from to make higher mortgage payments

James Laird, co-CEO, Ratehub.ca

The rise in interest rates is a double-edged sword for homeowners. While it may pose challenges for those on tighter budgets, it signifies a strengthening economy and attempts by the central bank to keep inflation in check. Higher interest rates are often employed as a tool to rein in inflationary pressures and ensure economic stability.

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In its press release on July 12, the Bank of Canada acknowledged the strength of the economy.

“Canada’s economy has exceeded expectations, displaying a robust demand momentum,” the bank said, further emphasizing strength in the housing market, in which demand has outpaced new construction and new listings, leading to upward pressure on prices.

Laird predicted the interest rate hike will have a dampening effect on home prices.

“This hike will put downward pressure on home prices and cause transactions to slow over the summer,” he said.

Ratehub.ca’s mortgage payment calculator shows that for a homeowner who makes a 10 per cent down payment on a $729,044 home, with a five-year variable rate of 5.80 per cent and a 25-year amortization period (resulting in a total mortgage amount of $676,479), the monthly mortgage payment amounts to $4,248.

Bank of Canada hikes interest rate.

Bank of Canada hikes rate to 5%

The Bank of Canada raised interest rates on July 12.

What economists are saying about Bank of Canada hike

A 'for sale' sign is displayed in front of a house in the Riverdale area of Toronto.

Has Toronto’s housing rebound already peaked?

“This means that the homeowner will (now) pay $100 more per month or $1,200 per year on their mortgage payments,” Laird said.

• Email: shcampbell@postmedia.com

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