By Lambert Strether of Corrente
Bird Song of the Day
Eastern Meadowlark, Illinois Prairie Path–DuPage Airport, DuPage, Illinois, United States.
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In Case You Might Miss…
(1) The Debates, pre-game analysis.
(2) Hillary Clinton has a book forthcoming.
(3) Counting and scripting in the caring professions.
(4) Model legislation to outlaw masks
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Politics
“So many of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in fact a rational management of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
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2024
Less than a half a year to go!
Friday’s RCP Poll Averages:
At this point, we should entertain the hypothesis that the Bragg verdict is a damp squib, unless Biden can somehow leverage it in the debate. Swing States (more here) still Brownian-motioning around. Of course, it goes without saying that these are all state polls, therefore bad, and most of the results are within the margin of error. If will be interesting to see whether the verdict in Judge Merchan’s court affects the polling, and if so, how. NOTE Sorry for the excess red dots; I can’t seem to make them go away!
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Trump (R): “Campaign walks back Trump’s green card promise” [FOX]. “Former President Trump’s campaign walked back a promise that the former president would ‘automatically’ award green cards to migrants after they graduate from college. ‘President Trump has made it clear that on day one of his new administration, he’s going to shut down the border and launch the largest mass deportation effort of illegal aliens in history,’ Trump campaign national press secretary Karoline Leavitt said in a statement last week, according to a New York Post report, noting that the former president would include an ‘aggressive vetting process’ and ‘exclude all communists, radical Islamists, Hamas supporters, America haters and public charges.’ The comments come after Trump’s appearance on the “All-in Podcast” last week, where the former president outlined an idea to give all foreign college graduates a green card with their diploma.” • Let Trump be Trump!
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Biden (D): “Greenwashing Kamala Harris: How the Veep Casts Herself as an Environmental Justice Crusader” [RealClearInvestigations]. “Vice President Kamala Harris has long cast herself as a fearless pioneer of efforts to fight for social and environmental justice. ‘When I was elected DA of San Francisco,’ Harris told a gathering at the Georgia Institute of Technology in Atlanta last year, ‘I started the first environmental justice unit of any DA’s office in the country.’ In her telling, the San Francisco District Attorney formed the special environmental justice unit in the early 2000s especially to protect the long-neglected community of Bayview Hunters Point, a predominantly African American and impoverished part of the city, which had become ‘a dumping ground for people from other places.’ … But records from the San Francisco District Attorney’s office and interviews with local environmental advocates point to a different, far less ambitious record. ‘We’re unaware of any major or semi-major environmental justice work done by Harris in Bayview Hunters Point, including on the Hunters Point Shipyard Superfund site,’ said Bradley Angel, executive director of Greenaction for Health and Environmental Justice, a progressive watchdog group that seeks to ‘to promote environmental, social, economic and climate justice.’ Steve Castleman, an attorney with UC Berkeley’s Environmental Law Clinic, who has worked on urban pollution issues in the Bay Area, also noted that he did not know of any significant Harris environmental justice action as DA. Far from targeting powerful corporate interests, Harris’ environmental justice unit appears to have filed only a few lawsuits, all against small-time defendants. The targets included a young man who conducted illegal smog checks at a small auto body shop in the city and a left-leaning community newspaper accused of illegally dumping leftover ink in an abandoned lot. Another defendant charged by the unit was a small construction company accused of using adulterated concrete. The major industrial polluters of San Francisco were left untouched under Harris’ watch during her two terms that ended in 2010.” • Oh.
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Kennedy (I): On Assange:
Julian Assange struck a plea deal and will go free! I am overjoyed. He’s a generational hero.
The bad news is that he had to plea guilty to conspiracy to obtain and disclose national defense info. Which means the US security state succeeded in criminalizing journalism and…
— Robert F. Kennedy Jr (@RobertKennedyJr) June 24, 2024
Kennedy (I): “‘Epic Waste of $500 Million’: Scientists Slam HHS Funding for ‘Next-Gen’ COVID Oral and Nasal Vaccine Trials” [Children’s Health Defense]. Since they’ve got a picture of Kennedy on a fundraising pop-up, I file it here. “[Brian Hooker, Ph.D., Children’s Health Defense chief scientific officer] told the Defender that because COVID-19 mutates rapidly, ‘immunity will still wane precipitously’ for the new vaccine candidates, just as it did with the existing mRNA vaccines.” • The hope for nasal vaccines, which is why there are trials, is that they will provide sterilizing immunity that will not wane, since they activate the nasal immune system, which existing intramuscular injection vaccines do not do.
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The Debates: “The Little Secret I’ve Learned From 30 Years of Watching Debates With Voters” [Frank Luntz, New York Times]. “Nothing draws the ire of the average voter more than candidates speaking beyond their allotted time, my focus groups have shown. While most professional debate observers ignore candidates who run long, voters punish them mercilessly. It was a major reason many undecided voters turned so strongly against Mr. Trump after his undisciplined performance in the first debate in 2020. That debate, the most consequential one in memory, was one in which many voters and political experts drew roughly the same conclusions. Mr. Trump entered the debate trailing Mr. Biden by just a couple of percentage points, but his questionable strategy to insult, badger and bully Mr. Biden was received so badly by the women in my focus group that they were as harsh about Mr. Trump as he was to Mr. Biden. In contrast, there was one moment in the Trump-Clinton debates when voter opinion really struck me. It was Mr. Trump’s offhand comment that Mrs. Clinton belonged in jail. Many pundits and political experts hated it. My focus group loved it. For them, it was accountability in action for someone as important as her, a former secretary of state. To be sure, many political experts zeroed in on the moment as a striking instance of a presidential nominee threatening to weaponize the justice system against his opponent. But I think what they missed was a yearning among some voters to see a senior official held to account and not let off the hook by a system seen as protecting insiders.” • I’m sure that Trump’s campaign team was happy with the microphone muting, for the reason Luntz gives.
The Debates: “Debates Are Lost, Not Won” [RealClearPolitics]. “Trump’s risk is less what he says and more how he acts. Will he seem unhinged, overbearing, or out of control? Biden’s risk is also less what he says, and more how he looks saying it. Will he seem frail, disoriented, or too old?” • One again, the muted microphones are a plus for Trump.
The Debates: “You Don’t Need a Shrink to Tell You Why You Feel This Way” [Harold Mayerson, The American Prospect]. “So Biden and his campaign have no need to lower expectations going into the debate, though that’s common practice for presidential candidates. Trump and his ilk have already done that for him, day in and day out for the past couple of years. If Biden actually can stand up [let’s not talk about his gait, eh?] and remember things, he will have undercut the one perception most damaging to his prospects: that he’s too old to be president—at least, when compared to Trump. For which reason, ironically, Biden goes into the debate having to surmount the same hurdle as novice candidates (a category in which Biden certainly does not belong): demonstrating that he’s simply up to the job.” • Strikes me as a debater’s point (though yes, I think diagnosis from digital evidence is both over-the-top and not needed).
The Debates: “How Trump Wins the Debate – and the Election” [RealClearPolitics]. “[O]n June 27, when Trump joins President Joe Biden on CNN for the earliest general election presidential debate in U.S. history, it’s not going to matter what the former president says so much as how he says it. Think of it as the equivalent of a medieval knight running the gauntlet. Every question from pro-Democrat moderators Jake Tapper and Dana Bash and every taunting response from President Biden about threats to democracy will be an opportunity for Trump to lose his temper or to alienate moderate voters with intemperate replies. But if Trump keeps his cool in hostile territory – and CNN is definitely hostile – he will pick up invaluable points in the ‘seems more presidential’ surveys that will certainly follow. The demeanor issue could cement Trump as the winner not just of the debate, but of the 2024 election itself.” • This is the conventional wisdom, I see. Perhaps I should check myself, since I buy it…
The Debates: “First debate a chance for Biden to finish the Trump smackdown he started during State of the Union” [Salon]. A collection of “zingers.” More: “‘A convicted criminal who’s only out for himself.’ President Biden’s campaign last week launched a $50 million TV ad buy whose key line shows how to capture two central truths about Trump. The first — that the former president is a ‘convicted criminal’ — speaks for itself and is hard for Trump to escape. The second part of the ad – ‘he’s in it only for himself’ is equally important. Biden can quote Bill Barr, Trump’s own attorney general, who said about Trump, ‘He will always put his own interests . . . ahead of everything else.’” • Quoting people who have worked for Trump (there are other examples in the article) is an interesting tactic and might get The Donald riled up.
The Debates: “Trump’s flip-flops on Biden’s debate skills” [WaPo]. “According to Trump and his surrogates, Biden is suddenly an accomplished debater who ‘destroyed’ Ryan in that 2012 debate — and whose State of the Union signaled an ability to rise to the occasion when the bright lights are upon him. It’s normal for politicians and their campaigns to raise expectations for their opponents ahead of a debate. But Trump’s reversals have been as breathtaking and rapid as they have been transparent.” • Par for the course.
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“Is Joe Biden’s bizarre behavior a GOP ‘cheap fake’? It’s up to him to prove that he’s OK.” [USA Today]. “Cheap fake essentially means a real video is edited in a way to become misleading. I’ve seen various versions of all the videos, however, and regardless of how they were edited or framed, Biden does not come out looking good. I encourage you to watch them for yourselves. Calling them cheap fakes is bad enough, but Jean-Pierre went further and outright lied about these clips being ‘deepfakes,’ which implies false content created through artificial intelligence or other technology.” The full Jean-Pierre quote: “Instead of talking about the president’s performance in office — and what I mean by that is his legislative wins, what he’s been able to do for people across this country — we’re seeing these deepfakes, these manipulated videos.” • From this wording, it’s also possible that Jean-Pierre is simply ignorant, and thinks that “deepfake” and “manipulated video” are synonyms.
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PA: “The Trump Running Mate Who Threatens the Blue Wall” [New York Times]. “There is one person on Donald Trump’s reported shortlist of running mates who has the ability to carve a Pennsylvania-shaped slice out of the so-called blue wall of rust belt states that Democratic presidential candidates typically need to win: Senator Marco Rubio of Florida…. Mr. Rubio could help the ticket in Nevada, where he spent a formative chunk of his adolescence and where his parents worked as a maid and a bartender in Las Vegas, or another marginal Biden state with a large Latino population, such as Arizona…. Pennsylvania has the largest Latino population in the three critical states of the so-called blue wall — Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, which have favored Democrats in every election since 1992 except 2016 — and Mr. Rubio is the kind of public figure whose values, rooted in a scrappy upbringing and Catholicism, could appeal to its voters. While Pennsylvania may not be the first state that comes to mind as having a sizable population of Hispanics and Latinos (and both campaigns are targeting them), they are the fastest growing ethnic group in the commonwealth, which is often seen as an older and whiter state. According to the last census, its total population grew only 2.4 percent from 2010 to 2020, while the Hispanic and Latino population grew by a whopping 45.8 percent. Hispanics and Latinos in Pennsylvania are highly concentrated in the media markets where elections are often won or lost, Philadelphia and the agglomeration of Scranton and Wilkes-Barre. These pockets of Latino voters experienced a spike in population growth in five politically potent counties that run along the eastern side of the state: Berks, Lehigh, Luzerne, Monroe, Philadelphia.” • Interesting argument. I can’t see Trump picking Little Marco, and I do consider the source, but it is an interesting argument. Has Rubio actually accomplished anything? Floridians?
Clinton Legacy
“Hillary Clinton to warn voters in book coming 7 weeks before election” [Axios] “Just seven weeks before the election, Hillary Rodham Clinton will release a book called “Something Lost, Something Gained: Reflections on Life, Love, and Liberty,” which is billed as ‘Hillary like you haven’t seen her before.’” I hope not. More: “The book includes ‘new personal insights about her old adversary Vladimir Putin.’” • Geopolitics is always personal with these people; I don’t think it’s a grift, I think it’s how they genuinely think, if either of those two words is the word I want. Everything is like high school. And speaking of making it personal, I wonder if Mother’s book will include this:
Never forget…
When Julian Assange was releasing US Government war crimes back in 2010, Hillary Clinton proposed drone striking him. pic.twitter.com/oObqv6iT91
— Geiger Capital (@Geiger_Capital) June 25, 2024
Republican Funhouse
They just can’t help themselves:
House GOP is trying to cut the Antitrust Division by 20% and gut the legislation that passed in 2022 to increase funding when there’s more mergers. Populism!
(And to be clear this is the budget for next year, so it could be Trump’s antitrust division…) pic.twitter.com/RJah1myYNw
— Matt Stoller (@matthewstoller) June 25, 2024
Democrats en Déshabillé
Realignment and Legitimacy
Syndemics
“I am in earnest — I will not equivocate — I will not excuse — I will not retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
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Covid Resources, United States (National): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; includes many counties; Wastewater Scan, includes drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, but national data). “Infection Control, Emergency Management, Safety, and General Thoughts” (especially on hospitalization by city).
Lambert here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To update any entry, do feel free to contact me at the address given with the plants. Please put “COVID” in the subject line. Thank you!
Resources, United States (Local): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater reports); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Resources, Canada (National): Wastewater (Government of Canada).
Resources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tips to helpful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, square coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Stay safe out there!
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Maskstravaganza
“Silence from prominent left outlets continues as mask bans spread” [The Gauntlet]. “Rest during and after COVID infection helps prevent Long COVID, and professional class people have much greater access to rest than workers in frontline positions. This is perhaps why, when left/liberal figures who continually avoid discussing the equity impacts of COVID make a lighthearted post about how they’re lying around sick with COVID watching TV, they’re often confused to be met with ire. For many people, being COVID positive means losing income for days, week or months, or working straight through it. And for those who do work through it, the risk of never recovering is higher. All of these realities put the ongoing pandemic squarely in the center of myriad left priorities; allowing COVID to spread unmitigated is worsening racial inequalities, worsening health inequality, harming workers, worsening homelessness, overloading our already struggling healthcare systems, and disproportionately disabling and killing people who are oppressed along other intersecting identities; people of color, queer people, trans people, women and disabled people. Yet prominent news outlets that bill themselves as leftist or socialist, like Jacobin, Current Affairs, The Lever and The Intercept remain strangely quiet about unmitigated COVID spread, the crisis of Long COVID, the importance of masking, the need for new clean air standards to bring down transmission, the urgency of airborne infection control in hospitals, and the state’s intensifying targeting of disabled people and those with Long COVID…. As masks are increasingly stigmatized and criminalized, the arena in which disabled people, people with Long COVID, and people who do not wish to contract and spread COVID can safely appear continues to shrink…. Watching these bans go into place while left-leaning outlets say nothing (or even appear to signal their support by failing to recommend masking or mitigation of any sort) is akin to feeling the walls closing in. Left public figures who fail to speak do not see that they are slashing a gaping hole in our wall of solidarity for fascists to drive right through. At this point, it is inarguable that the state is coming for disabled people. Speak now, because the state that is empowered to dispose of anyone harmed by COVID is surely a state empowered to dispose of you.” • Of all the many betrayals of the putative left, Covid policy is perhaps the worst, the real kick in the ribs. Commentary:
Banning masks in a pandemic is one of the most batshit things I’ve ever heard. Only in America.
— Peter Daou (@peterdaou) June 25, 2024
And:
This model mask ban law states that no person wearing a mask for health reasons should be congregating in large groups of people.
That’s ableist. People have a right to participate in social activities and protest while protecting their health. https://t.co/ztbBHD0JRU pic.twitter.com/EynrG3r7jl
— Dr. Lucky Tran (@luckytran) June 25, 2024
And:
They’re really trying to write “if you’re hi-risk stay home” into law and y’all are silent?
You’re taking it with a smile?
Do you realize that your unwillingness to mask in public is a surefire ticket to ending up disabled, dead or HI-RISK?
Do you realize THIS AFFECTS YOU TOO?
— potatum🥔 (@pot8um) June 25, 2024
Yes, good to see the putative left all over this…..
“Here’s Why COVID Measures Like Masking And New Ones Like Safety Goggles Could Return If A Bird Flu Pandemic Is Declared” [Forbes]. “An ongoing bird flu outbreak among U.S. dairy cows has led to three confirmed human cases in dairy workers, and although there aren’t any confirmed cases of human-to-human transmission, experts warn safety measures like masks, vaccines and safety goggles will be needed if a pandemic is declared due to the virus’s deadly nature…. . Dr. Donal Bisanzio, a senior epidemiologist with the nonprofit research institute RTI International, told Forbes methods like masking and social distancing should be the first implemented. “Those are all the kinds of interventions we need to put in place to buy time for the vaccine,” Bisanzio said. Justman told Forbes new methods like protective eyewear may be effective safety measures, especially among farm workers who have daily contact with potentially infectious animals. This is because all three U.S. dairy farmers infected with bird flu had eye-related symptoms like pink eye and irritation, indicating the virus may spread when humans touch or rub their eyes with infected hands. She also pointed to a recent CDC bird flu study that found ferrets—that as mammals have similar respiratory tracts to humans—became infected after eye exposure. Dr. Maciej Boni, an epidemiologist and professor at Temple University, told Forbes he doesn’t think safety measures for a bird flu pandemic will be similar to those put in place during the COVID-19 pandemic because experts don’t know yet how the virus will behave if it mutates and begins transmitting between humans. “H5N1 is not 10 or 20 times more deadly [than COVID-19], it’s 1,000 times more deadly,” Boni said.” • Bird Flu is Disease X, and we’ve been planning for it for twenty years. Just imagine how bad it would be if we hadn’t been planning!
Censorship and Propaganda
“A resource for COVID-19 research and information [“You Have To Live Your Life”] • Maps minimizing, eugenicist cliché to counter-evidence using dropdowns:
There should really be a word for “minimizing, eugenicist cliché.” Perhaps in German?
Variants: Covid
“KP.3 COVID variant is dominant in the US: What are the symptoms?” [USA Today]. “In April, KP.2 quickly overtook JN.1, the omicron subvariant that drove a surge in COVID cases this past winter. In a matter of weeks, KP.3 surpassed KP.2 to become the most prevalent strain…. Although COVID-19 numbers are still relatively low compared to the winter, CDC data shows a small increase in test positivity and emergency room visits in recent weeks.” As NC readers have known for weeks. More: “The emergence of KP.3 and other FLiRT variants is the “same old story,” Andrew Pekosz, Ph.D., virologist at Johns Hopkins University, tells TODAY.com. The SARS-CoV-2 virus mutates and gives rise to a new, highly contagious variant, which becomes the dominant strain. “The timeline that it happens in, three to six months, is much faster than we see with other viruses like influenza,” says Pekosz.” Too fast, therefore, for vaccines to react. One would therefore expect an emphasis on non-pharmaceutical interventions like masking and ventilation which work on any variant, but instead we have a lengthy discussion of plans for next fall’s vaccines. Of course the metrics are hospitalization and death, not infection (which in and of itself, even in asymptomatic cases, can cause vascular and neurological damage, and Long Covid). Not a bad article once you accept its limitations [lambert bangs head on desk].
Testing and Tracking: Covid
“Detection of COVID-19 by quantitative analysis of carbonyl compounds in exhaled breath” [Nature]. N = 321. From the Abstract: “Breath analysis has shown great potential as a non-invasive and rapid means for COVID-19 detection. The objective of this study is to detect patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 and even the possibility to screen between different SARS-CoV-2 variants by analysis of carbonyl compounds in breath. Carbonyl compounds in exhaled breath are metabolites related to inflammation and oxidative stress induced by diseases… Carbonyl compounds in exhaled breath were captured using a microfabricated silicon microreactor and analyzed by ultra-high-performance liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (UHPLC-MS)…. . The technology for analysis of carbonyl compounds in exhaled breath has great potential for rapid screening and detection of COVID-19 and for other infectious respiratory diseases in future pandemics.” • Now put it in cell phones.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-61735-7#author-information
Sequelae: Covid
Is anyone else experiencing this?
I bought 3 appliances in early 2023 – a dishwasher, washer/dryer & range. All failed w/i a month of each other ~15 mos after purchase (out of warranty). Here’s the crazy part: each of the 3 brands admitted it was due to a flaw introduced during Covid & covered the repairs.
— Ann Bauer (@annbauerwriter) June 25, 2024
Sounds like loss of executive function upstream in the supply chain, to me. How long until this is normalized, and the repairs aren’t covered?
Prevention
“And Now Xylitol” [Derek Lowe, Science]. “The authors studies two large and separate cohorts of patients across several years, and fasting xylitol concentration in the blood certainly seems to be correlated with major adverse coronary events, along with stroke… The evidence looks pretty solid, although the mechanism (as with erythritol) is still something of a mystery. … At any rate, I would regard these studies as reason enough to avoid both of these compounds as sweeteners, and I would extend the caution to the other sugar alcohols as well (maltitol, mannitol, sorbitol, etc.) We really need to understand more about these things, and ditching the sugar-free gummy candies and the like seems like a prudent move.” • So I guess Xylitol chewing gum as a Covid preventative is out?
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TABLE 1: Daily Covid Charts
LEGEND
1) ★ for charts new today; all others are not updated.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution image, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open image in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] (CDC) This week’s wastewater map, with hot spots annotated. The numbers in the right hand column are identical. The dots on the map are not.
[2] (CDC) Last week’s wastewater map.
[3] (CDC Variants) KP.3 dominating.
[4] (ER) This is the best I can do for now. At least data for the entire pandemic is presented.
[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Now a jump, which is be compatible with a wastewater decrease, but still not a good feeling .(The New York city area has form; in 2020, as the home of two international airports (JFK and EWR) it was an important entry point for the virus into the country (and from thence up the Hudson River valley, as the rich sought to escape, and then around the country through air travel.)
[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). This is the best I can do for now. Note the assumption that Covid is seasonal is built into the presentation. At least data for the entire pandemic is presented.
[7] (Walgreens) 4.3%; big jump. (Because there is data in “current view” tab, I think white states here have experienced “no change,” as opposed to have no data.)
[8] (Cleveland) Still going up!
[9] (Travelers: Positivity) Up. Those sh*theads at CDC have changed the chart so that it doesn’t even run back to 1/21/23, as it used to, but now starts 1/1/24. There’s also no way to adjust the time rasnge. CDC really doesn’t want you to be able to take a historical view of the pandemic, or compare one surge to another. In an any case, that’s why the shape of the curve has changed.
[10] (Travelers: Variants) Same deal. Those sh*theads. I’m leaving this here for another week because I loathe them so much:
[11] Deaths low, but positivity up.
[12] Deaths low, ED up.
Stats Watch
“The Economy”: “United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index” [Trading Economics]. “The Chicago Fed National Activity Index increased to +0.18 in May 2024, the highest in three months, up from a revised -0.26 in April.”
Manufacturing: “United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index” [Trading Economics]. “The composite manufacturing index in the US Fifth District slumped to -10 in June of 2024 from the neutral reading of 0 in the earlier period, a sharp contrast to market expectations of a 2.”
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Retail: “Hooters has abruptly shuttered 40 locations – as restaurant crisis deepens” [Daily Mail]. “[B]osses said the 41-year-old brand ‘remains highly resilient and relevant,’ and highlighted a new range of Hooters frozen food which is being sold in supermarkets across America.” • Hooters frozen food? Really?
Tech: “US Record Labels Sue AI Music Generators Suno and Udio for Copyright Infringement” [Wired]. “The music industry has officially declared war on Suno and Udio, two of the most prominent AI music generators. A group of music labels including Universal Music Group, Warner Music Group, and Sony Music Group has filed lawsuits in US federal court on Monday morning alleging copyright infringement on a ‘massive scale.’ The plaintiffs seek damages up to $150,000 per work infringed. The lawsuit against Suno is filed in Massachusetts, while the case against Udio’s parent company Uncharted Inc. was filed in New York. Suno and Udio did not immediately respond to a request to comment. ‘Unlicensed services like Suno and Udio that claim it’s ‘fair’ to copy an artist’s life’s work and exploit it for their own profit without consent or pay set back the promise of genuinely innovative AI for us all,’ Recording Industry Association of America chair and CEO Mitch Glazier said in a press release.” • RIAA aren’t exactly angels, but they have the right of it here.
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Today’s Fear & Greed Index: 39 Fear (previous close: 39 Fear) [CNN]. One week ago: 44 (Fear). (0 is Extreme Fear; 100 is Extreme Greed). Last updated Jun 25 at 1:47:21 PM ET.
Class Warfare
“The Triumph of Counting and Scripting” [Salon]. “Erin Nash was a hospital chaplain whose job was to be with people in some of their worst moments, praying, holding hands, even singing with them. Shadowing her on her rounds, I watched as she managed to create brief peaceful moments with suffering patients and their families again and again, making temporary sanctuary between the thin blue medical curtains despite the buzzing alarms, fluorescent lighting, and constant stream of footsteps on the linoleum floors nearby. I was surprised to learn that in addition to consoling the bereaved and calming the anxious, Erin (the names in this piece have been changed) had to fill out three separate charts—including the standard electronic health records system that many clinicians use—for every person she visited. She even carried around a cheat sheet to help her remember the codes, murmuring, under her breath, ‘Asking for a prayer is a resource, family together is a resource,” while she hunted and pecked at the keyboard. Nobody was being billed for Erin’s work, so why was she charting in triplicate? To find the answer, I spent five years talking to workers like Erin, as well as the managers and engineers who are trying to design and impose the systems that control her work. Ultimately, the spread of data analytics into feeling labor is more than just the latest frontier in an inexorable drive toward increasing efficiency everywhere. It has implications for A.I., the future of work, and the stratification of human contact.” • Reminds me of this from The Onion…
“First we shape our social graph; then it shapes us” [Henrik Karlsson, Escaping Flatland]. “I’ve been using the word culture so far, but that is not the exact word for what I am gesturing at. It is not the wider culture we internalize; it is the particular set of influences that surround us, what Tim Urban has called ‘our unique cultural intersection’. Is there a word for this? I don’t know. But discussing the terminology with GPT-3, a large language model, it suggests I use the word milieu, which sounds sophisticated in a distinctly French way. This I can live with. A milieu, says GPT-3, is the culture contained in your unique set of connections. (Merriam Webster’s dictionary says ‘the physical or social setting in which something occurs or develops.’) Unlike the word culture, as anthropologists invoke it when they talk about ‘French culture’ or ‘Balinese culture,’ a milieu is not a monolithic thing. Your milieu is not the same as your sister’s. It is an ever-shifting, individual configuration of information flows. The Twitter feed you have curated is a milieu. Your friend group (which is not the same as the friend groups of the other people in that group!) is a milieu. It is by changing your milieu that you change yourself. Curating our milieu is something we all do these days, if not always consciously.” •
News of the Wired
Dad. Via:
A duck walks into a pub and orders a pint of beer and a ham sandwich.
The barman looks at him and says,
“Hang on! You’re a duck.”
“I see your eyes are working,” replies the duck.
“And you can talk” !!
Exclaims the barman.
“I see your ears are working, too,”
Says the duck.
“Now if you don’t mind, can I have my beer and my sandwich please?”
“Certainly, sorry about that,”
Says the barman as he pulls the duck’s pint.
“It’s just we don’t get many ducks in this pub. What are you doing around this way?”
“I’m working on the building site across the road,” Explains the duck.
“I’m a plasterer.”
The flabbergasted barman cannot believe the duck and wants to learn more, but takes the hint when the duck pulls out a newspaper from his bag and proceeds to read it.
So, the duck reads his paper, drinks his beer, eats his sandwich, bids the barman good day and leaves.
The same thing happens for two weeks.
Then one day the circus comes to town.
The ringmaster comes into the pub for a pint and the barman says to him
“You’re with the circus, aren’t you? Well, I know this duck that could be just brilliant in your circus. He talks, drinks beer, eats sandwiches, reads the newspaper and everything!”
“Sounds marvellous,” says the ringmaster, handing over his business card.
“Get him to give me a call.”
So the next day when the duck comes into the pub the barman says,
“Hey Mr Duck, I reckon I can line you up with a top job, paying really good money.”
“I’m always looking for the next job,”
Says the duck.
“Where is it?”
“At the circus,”
Says the barman.
“The circus?”
Repeats the duck.
“That’s right,”
Replies the barman.
“The circus?”
The duck asks again.
with the big tent?”
“Yeah,” the barman replies.
“With all the animals who live in cages, and performers who live in caravans?” says the duck.
“Of course,” the barman replies.
“And the tent has canvas sides and a big canvas roof with a hole in the middle?” persists the duck.
“That’s right!” says the barman.
The duck shakes his head in amazement, and says;
“What the hell would they want with a plasterer” ???
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Contact information for plants: Readers, feel free to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) find out how to send me a check if you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to find out how to send me images of plants. Vegetables are fine! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary plants! If you want your handle to appear as a credit, please place it at the start of your mail in parentheses: (thus). Otherwise, I will anonymize by using your initials. See the previous Water Cooler (with plant) here. From TH:
Th writes: “We’ve been lucky in that the prior owners of our property never used chemicals. Neither do we and as a result, the amphibians love to hang out in our yard. The perennial geranium just started to bloom and will come on strong this week after the rain.” “Skink” is, IIRC, the name of a dealer in Spook Country. But this ampihibian seems quite nice!
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Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not covered by the annual NC fundraiser. So if you see a link you especially like, or an item you wouldn’t see anywhere else, please do not hesitate to express your appreciation in tangible form. Remember, a tip jar is for tipping! Regular positive feedback both makes me feel good and lets me know I’m on the right track with coverage. When I get no donations for three or four days I get worried. More tangibly, a constant trickle of donations helps me with expenses, and I factor in that trickle when setting fundraising goals:
Here is the screen that will appear, which I have helpfully annotated:
If you hate PayPal, you can email me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, and I will give you directions on how to send a check. Thank you!